Picto Diary - 17, 18 April 2020 - Curbside Restaurant Pickup

Above: Kid on skateboard. Iron Canyon. 17 April 2020.

Above: Picnic. Echo State Park. 17 April 2020

Physical separation picnic in the age of Coronavirus.
Daily Three Miler, Echo to Henifer Historic Trail.
Echo. HK/Nighthawk physical distancing practice. — with Margaret Taylor at Echo State Park.

Above: Chart showing Covid 19 Summit County active cases (net of recoveries) from Summit County Health Department. 17 April 2020

DAILY SUMMIT COUNTY, UT WUHAN VIRUS ANALYSIS (SDT) as of Wednesday 17 APRIL 2020 (Coronavirus.Utah.Gov. 10:00 PM).

I have been noting for the last few days that Coronavirus.Utah.Gov is not reporting recoveries, and that, as such, the "number of cases" number, a cumulative aggregation of positive testings overstates the real number of tested County infections.

It turns out... learned from a Facebook exchange with Corrie Forsling, Summit County Treasurer, that Summit County HAS BEGUN to report Covid-19 cases net of recovery. See Summitcountyhealth.org.

The attached chart, last updated on 14 April 2020, three days ago, shows 61 active cases in the county... a decrease of some 136 cases from the peak outstanding active cases (ie. net of recoveries) of 197 on 27 March 2020.

The data is not "headlined" or emphasized in Summit County reporting, but as Corrie Forsling notes, it is there if you look for it. It's hard to conclude anything other than the fact that the county's infection position is improving rapidly. Summit County active cases of 61 looks a lot different than the Coronavirus.Utah.Gov total cumulative cases for Summit County of 316, as of 17 April 2020.

Caveat: The number of new cases in Summit County grew from 308 confirmed cases (16 April 2020) to 316 cases, today (17 April 2020), an increase of 8, or 2.6% (Again, this number is cumulative number of cases since testing first began... not "active cases" net of recoveries). It was reported by City Councilman Steve Joyce to our LSDM AM colloquy on 15 April 2020, that new hot spots had been discovered primarily amongst Park City's Hispanic population. Testing facilities have been established near primarily Hispanic neighborhoods (near Park City High School, for one) with nearby residents being encouraged to get tested. For this reason, it is possible that the underlying trend showing a regularly reducing number of active cases attenuate somewhat as possible new cases are identified in certain hot spots. — at Iron Canyon.

Above: Family hike. Rockport State Park. 18 April 2020.

Summit County Quarantine
Daily three miler.
Hiking Coronavirus style. — with Margaret Taylor at Rockport State Park.

Above: Kids. Rockport State Park. 18 April 2020.

Summit County Quarantine
Daily 3.75 miler.
Physical distancing from....bears!

Note: Fake bear is an archery target. — with Margaret Taylor at Rockport State Park.

Above: Duc at Squatters. Park City, UT. 18 April 2020.

Summit County Quarantine
Out and about on the Duc.
I've bot curbside meals from Squatters three times.
Many restaurants will not survive the Coronavirus shut down.