Picto Diary - 29 March 2020 - Bald Eagle

Poncho. During Coronavirus quarantine Park City, UT. 29 March 2020.

TIMDT has become a knitting fiend! — with Margaret Taylor at Iron Canyon.

Above: Bald Eagle. Rockport State Park. 29 March 2020.

Bald Eagle. My first Utah sighting after forty years living in the state. 35 year interregnum outside of Utah after age 20.

May be a top ten wildlife sighting for me, only because of where I saw it. I've seen plenty of bald eagles in Alaska, where they seem to be as ubiquitous as robins are here.

10x zoom. Samsung Galaxy Note 9. — with Margaret Taylor at Rockport State Park.

Above: TIMDT and Juniper Forest. Rockport State Park. 29 March 2020.

Daily three miler during Summit County Coronavirus Quarantine.

A handful of fishermen, but, only us walking.

Park opened only to quarantined Summit County residents. Thanks to Summit County and DNR providing spots for outdoor physical isolation away from busier Park City paths and trailheads.

Kudos to park DNR ranger. He didn't ticket our parked car which showed no evidence of fee payment. Rather, he put a fee envelope on our windscreen. $12 per vehicle, $5 for seniors. Fee envelopes are at unmanned, Park entrance gate. We willingly made payment. — with Margaret Taylor at Rockport State Parkorest

DAILY SUMMIT COUNTY, UT CORONAVIRUS ANALYSIS (SDT) as of Sunday, 29 MARCH 2020 (Coronavirus.Utah.Gov. 1:45 PM)

159 (including 8 visitors) confirmed cases Summit County. Up 32 (25%) from yesterday. Utah cases 719, up 19% from 602 yesterday. Two Utah deaths (no change from yesterday). Note: 3rd Utah death reported after 1:45 PM cutoff for this report.

Say, 10x cases, is real Summit County number of contagions if all were tested. Means hypothetical 1590 Summit County contagions today (10 x 159 = 1590).

Summit County population 40K. So, to date, estimate 4.0% County Contagion Rate (CCR) Diamond Princess had a 20% contagion rate. High estimates (Europe) for expected contagion rates are 50%. Current mortality rates vary widely from locale to locale: 1.2% US; China 4%; Italy 9%.

Extrapolating current US mortality rate of 1.2%, based on adjusted CURRENT cases, 2.0 coronavirus deaths can be expected in Summit County, or .00005% of the total Summit County population of 40 thousand.

Summit County officials warn of exponential growth of contagion, but, hope to "flatten" the growth curve via aggressive, stay at home, physical distancing policies. Lack of exponential growth in current Summit County numbers could be a function of lagging testing, success of the Country's disease suppression strategy, or a combination of both.