Ukraine Misadventure Two Years Later

Two years ago, I foresaw Russia's and China's global influence waxing and US position waning in in global influence as a result of the US ill-conceived bankrolling Ukraine's war with Russia. I argued that the urgency for Russia to make a last-ditch effort reverse its cultural tailspin brought on by the Bolsheviks over one hundred years ago would loom larger than a feckless, poorly led US effort to keep Russia from coopting what it perceived to be Russian cultural lands in Ukraine.

I further argued that in view of Russia's relative economic weakness and her having rejected Bolshevik worldwide adventurism at the time of the fall of the Soviet Union,1991, that there was no imminent danger to US national security arising from Russia's actions in Ukraine. The US had its own internal issues (crime, border, decaying cities etc.) that should be prioritized ahead of a regional matter in eastern Europe.

Today. As the Russian economy shows solid growth (2.5%); as Russia, playing the long game, digs in with its Eastern Ukraine gains; as the Ukraine Offensive sputters; as the US public wavers in its support for the war; as Europe, stressed by high energy costs, temporizes in its own support for the Ukraine war; and, as the BRICS muscle up and distance themselves from the US and the dollar, I see no reason to alter my sentiment first expressed two years ago e.g. US global influence wanes and Russia and China global influence waxes, following US misadventure in Ukraine.